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Evaluation of the 2003 Predictions of the Run-Timing of Wild Migrant Yearling Chinook, Subyearling Chinook and Steelhead and Water Quality at Multiple Locations on the Snake and Columbia Rivers using CRiSP/RealTime

Prepared by:
W. Nicholas Beer
Susannah Iltis
Chris Van Holmes
James J. Anderson

Columbia Basin Research
School of Aquatic and Fishery Sciences
University of Washington
Box 358218
Seattle, Washington 98195

Prepared for:
U.S. Department of Energy
Bonneville Power Administration
Environment, Fish and Wildlife
P.O. Box 3621
Portland, OR 97283-3621

Project Number 89-108
Contract Number DE-BI79-89BP02347

August 18, 2004


Executive Summary

This report is a post-season analysis of the performance of the CRiSP portion of the RealTime/CRiSP complex. Observed 2003 data are compared to predictions made by CRiSP/RealTime during the 2003 outmigration for arrival timing, water temperature, total dissolved gas, flow and spill. CRiSP model runs consistently demonstrate that basic mechanisms of migration can be applied to Columbia River fish movements and their survival tracked downstream. As a part of RealTime/CRiSP, CRiSP is absolutely dependent on the arrival distributions predicted by the RealTime portion of the model and other river environment inputs such as flow and spill data. New this year, additional stocks are tracked in addition to the yearling chinook of previous years. Snake River fish are tracked from Lower Granite Dam downstream. Some Snake and Columbia river ESU stocks are tracked from McNary Dam downstream.


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Columbia Basin Research,
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