Inseason Forecasts Post Season Analysis and Other Publications

Post Season Analysis

Interactive Postseason Analysis

Beginning in 2018, postseason analysis has moved from a static report to an interactive web page. At the end of the migration season, forecasts and observations are presented and compared when possible. Various details and visualizations are available, and previous years can be examined as well.

Adult Peak, Adult Upstream Model and Escapement Forecaster

Adult Upstream Model overview

Anderson JJ, Beer WN. Oceanic, riverine, and genetic influences on spring chinook salmon migration timing. Ecological Applications [Internet]. 2009;19:1989-2003. Available from: http://dx.doi.org/10.1890/08-0477.1

Beer WN. Run timing of adult Chinook salmon passing Bonneville dam on the Columbia River. [Internet]. 2007. Available from: /sites/default/files/papers/chinook.run.timing.2007.pdf

Beer WN. Stock Separation of Chinook salmon at Bonneville Dam for Adult Upstream Migration Model (2008). [Internet]. 2008. Available from: /sites/default/files/papers/StockSeparationforAUM2008.pdf

Juvenile Passage Models

2007 - Present

COMPASS Comprehensive Passage Model

Zabel RW, Faulkner J, Smith SG, Anderson JJ, Holmes CV, Beer WN, Iltis S, Krinke J, Fredicks G, Bellerud B. Comprehensive Passage (COMPASS) Model: a model of downstream migration and survival of juvenile salmonids through a hydropower system. Hydrobiologia [Internet]. 2008;609:289-300. Available from: http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s10750-008-9407-z

1996 - 2006

Columbia River Salmon Passage Model

Anderson JJ, Beer WN, Frever T, Hayes JA, Iltis S, Moore MP, Salinger DH, Shaw P, Holmes CV, Zabel RW. Columbia River Salmon Passage Model CRiSP.1.6 Theory and Calibration. [Internet]. 2000. Available from: /sites/default/files/manuals/crisp16_tc.pdf

RealTime Forecasters

RealTime Forecasters

Temperature

Shaw P. Inseason Forecasts Temperature Predictions. [Internet]. 1996. Available from: papers/realtemp

Total Dissolved Gas

TDG modeling used by the juvenile passage models can be found in the CRiSP1.6 Theory & Calibration Manual.

Shaw P. Gas Saturation and Sensitivity Analysis Using CRiSP. [Internet]. 1997. Available from: /sites/default/files/papers/shawpath.pdf

Beer WN. Total Dissolved Gas submodel parameter calibration for use with CRiSP. [Internet]. 2003. Available from: /sites/default/files/papers/gascalibration2003.2.pdf

Gas Generation Equations Development for CRiSP from April 1998